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Action Network compares midterm polls with prediction markets, with House at 90 percent for Democrats on both Kalshi and Polymarket US
- Action Network compares midterm polls with prediction markets, with House at 90 percent for Democrats on both Kalshi and Polymarket US — As of October 20, prediction markets priced Democrats at 90 percent on both Polymarket US and Kalshi for House control, and at 61 percent on Polymarket US and 62 percent on Kalshi for Senate control, compared with Cook Political Report projections of a 9 to 19 seat Democratic House gain. In Iowa, polling gave Democrat Josh Turek a narrow lead while Polymarket US traders favored Republican Ashley Hinson at 61 percent. (Action Network)
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