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Action Network compares midterm polls and prediction markets with Democrats at 90 percent for House control

  • Action Network compares midterm polls and prediction markets with Democrats at 90 percent for House control — Action Network reports that as of October 17, 2026, prediction markets priced Democrats at 90 percent on both Polymarket US and Kalshi to win House control, and at 61 percent on Polymarket US and 62 percent on Kalshi for Senate control. The comparison notes RealClearPolling put Democrats ahead by 8.3 points nationally on the congressional ballot. (Action Network)

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