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Election forecaster Nate Silver challenges Kalshi's post-election victory claim, arguing polling and forecasting models supplied much of the information traders relied on, NEXTPredict reports
- Election forecaster Nate Silver challenges Kalshi's post-election victory claim, arguing polling and forecasting models supplied much of the information traders relied on, NEXTPredict reports — NEXTPredict reports Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said prediction market favorites won 479 of the first 487 races decided, a 98 percent success rate. Silver challenged the claim of forecasting superiority, and Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan separately praised the markets for anticipating television network race calls by hours. (NEXTPredict)
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