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Seven Democratic Senate favorites price at 6.6 cents as independent bets against 16 to 23 percent when races move together, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- Seven Democratic Senate favorites price at 6.6 cents as independent bets against 16 to 23 percent when races move together, PredictionMarketPicks reports — PredictionMarketPicks reports its 5:02 p.m. ET analysis multiplied the seven Democratic favorites in Michigan, Texas, Ohio, Alaska, Maine, Kansas and Iowa out to about 6.6 cents if the races were independent coin flips. Its simulation, which lets the races move together on one national swing, puts the chance all seven win at about 16 to 23 percent, and adding the Republican favorites in Nebraska and South Carolina drops the combined price to about 3.3 cents as independent legs and about 5 percent in the simulation. (PredictionMarketPicks)
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