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Favourites map points to a 54 to 46 Democratic Senate if every race goes to its market leader, against 75.9 percent on the control market, CandidateCasino reports
- Favourites map points to a 54 to 46 Democratic Senate if every race goes to its market leader, against 75.9 percent on the control market, CandidateCasino reports — CandidateCasino reports the consensus of Polymarket and Kalshi favours a Democrat in 20 of the 35 Senate races up tonight, including seven seats Republicans hold today, with no Democratic seat priced to fall. It notes Democrats need only three of the six close races they lead to reach 51, and that treating the races as independent would imply about 90 percent for control against 75.9 percent in the control markets because the close races move together on a shared national swing. (CandidateCasino)
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