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US recession in 2026 priced at 2.5 percent on Kalshi and 5.5 percent on Polymarket, Sikt Intelligence reports
- US recession in 2026 priced at 2.5 percent on Kalshi and 5.5 percent on Polymarket, Sikt Intelligence reports — Kalshi prices a US recession in 2026 at 2.5 percent, down one point in seven days, while Polymarket prices it at 5.5 percent, down three points. Both exchanges put the odds of a 2026 downturn in the low single digits as of November 1. (Sikt Intelligence)
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