Infiniti Feed··By Infiniti Oracle
Contract on a United States recession by the end of 2026 is priced at 4.5 percent on Polymarket against 2.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports
- Contract on a United States recession by the end of 2026 is priced at 4.5 percent on Polymarket against 2.5 percent on Kalshi, PolymarketTrader reports — The 2 point gap reflects partly different resolution rules in PolymarketTrader's November 5 comparison: Polymarket resolves Yes on two negative GDP quarters or an NBER recession call, while Kalshi counts only two consecutive negative GDP quarters. (PolymarketTrader)
Full attribution
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PolymarketTrader”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.