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Three separate Polymarket midterm markets agree within half a point the day before the election, with Democrats at 94.5 percent for the House and 71.5 percent for the Senate, MonitoringRoom reports

  • Three separate Polymarket midterm markets agree within half a point the day before the election, with Democrats at 94.5 percent for the House and 71.5 percent for the Senate, MonitoringRoom reports — MonitoringRoom, checking prices on the morning of November 2, found Polymarket's separate House, Senate and balance of power markets internally consistent to within half a point, with Democrats win both priced at 70.5 percent against 71.5 percent implied by the Senate market. The Senate price moved 7 points in a week, from 64.5 percent on October 26 to 71.5 percent, while the House moved 3 points from 91.5 percent to 94.5 percent. (MonitoringRoom)

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