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Kalshi prices a recession in 2027 at 22 percent, against 6.5 percent for a recession in 2026, Sikt Intelligence reports
- Kalshi prices a recession in 2027 at 22 percent, against 6.5 percent for a recession in 2026, Sikt Intelligence reports — Sikt Intelligence reports its November 4 update priced a recession in 2027 at 22 percent on Kalshi, well above its 2026 recession pricing of 6.5 percent on Kalshi and 5.5 percent on Polymarket. Kalshi resolves the 2027 market on two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth from the fourth quarter of 2026 through the fourth quarter of 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. (Sikt Intelligence)
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