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Senate simulator gives Democrats and independents a 75.1 percent chance of Senate control with a median 53 to 47 result, PredictionMarketsPicks reports
- Senate simulator gives Democrats and independents a 75.1 percent chance of Senate control with a median 53 to 47 result, PredictionMarketsPicks reports — PredictionMarketsPicks ran 10,000 simulations using Kalshi Senate race prices as of November 1 at 10:37 PM ET and found Democrats and independents control the Senate in 75.1 percent of outcomes. The simulator identifies Michigan as the race that moves control most, with the Democrat called at 78.3 percent in the Michigan model. (PredictionMarketsPicks)
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