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Prediction markets called both chambers in the 2026 midterms, with favored candidates winning 98 percent of resolved races, RotoWire reports
- Prediction markets called both chambers in the 2026 midterms, with favored candidates winning 98 percent of resolved races, RotoWire reports — RotoWire reports Kalshi priced Democrats at 93.3 percent and Polymarket at 94.5 percent to win the House before polls closed, and at 75.0 percent and 75.5 percent for the Senate, with Democrats winning both chambers. Of nearly 500 races resolved by 6:00 AM ET on November 4, the candidates traders favored won in 98 percent, and Kalshi midterm trading volume surpassed 2.5 billion dollars compared with 1.3 billion dollars in the 2024 cycle. (RotoWire)
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