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Fed market favorite has won 15 of 15 decisions since 2025 as futures price a December hike 7.4 points above Kalshi, PredictionMarketsPicks reports

  • Fed market favorite has won 15 of 15 decisions since 2025 as futures price a December hike 7.4 points above Kalshi, PredictionMarketsPicks reports — PredictionMarketsPicks reports the market favorite has won all 15 Fed decisions since 2025 on Kalshi and Polymarket, and prices a 25 basis point hike at the December 8-9 meeting at 71.5 percent on Kalshi and 72.5 percent on Polymarket. Fed funds futures imply 78.9 percent for the same hike, a 7.4 point gap with Kalshi, with a hold priced at 27 percent on Kalshi. (PredictionMarketsPicks)

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