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Kalshi and Polymarket both price a December Fed rate hike at 74.5 percent, in line with futures at 73.3 percent, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- Kalshi and Polymarket both price a December Fed rate hike at 74.5 percent, in line with futures at 73.3 percent, PredictionMarketPicks reports — PredictionMarketPicks reports Kalshi and Polymarket both price a 25 basis point hike at the December 8-9 FOMC meeting at 74.5 percent, with fed funds futures implying 73.3 percent, a hold at about 25 percent and a cut at about 1 percent in the November 3, 11:00 p.m. ET read. The tracker notes the market favorite has won 15 of 15 Fed decisions since 2025 on Kalshi and Polymarket, with the current target range at 3.75 to 4.00 percent. (PredictionMarketPicks)
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