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Polymarket and Kalshi prices average a 1.2 point gap across 54 matched outcomes, widest on the 2028 presidential party market, PolymarketTrader reports
- Polymarket and Kalshi prices average a 1.2 point gap across 54 matched outcomes, widest on the 2028 presidential party market, PolymarketTrader reports — PolymarketTrader reports that across 10 events listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi on November 3, covering 54 matched outcomes, the average price gap between the two venues is 1.2 percentage points. The widest gap is on Republicans to win the 2028 presidential election, at 32.5 percent on Polymarket against 40.5 percent on Kalshi, while the December Fed decision is priced identically for a 25 basis point hike at 72.5 percent on both. (PolymarketTrader)
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