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Polymarket US five-minute Bitcoin windows settled Up 49.9 percent of the time across 3,806 logged windows, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- Polymarket US five-minute Bitcoin windows settled Up 49.9 percent of the time across 3,806 logged windows, PredictionMarketPicks reports — PredictionMarketPicks logged every Polymarket US five-minute Bitcoin window from October 22 to November 4, with Up settling 1,898 times and Down 1,908 times, a split it says cannot be told apart from an even coin flip. The longest Up run was 12 windows, the median move was 4.5 basis points, and 54.1 percent of windows moved 5 basis points or less. (PredictionMarketPicks)
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